{
  "kind": "sim",
  "label": "SIMULATED",
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-17T05:15:45.378Z",
  "mode": "history",
  "workload": {
    "kind": "history",
    "repo": "https://github.com/honojs/hono",
    "head": "552ea0242500",
    "commitsUsed": 2285,
    "packages": 100,
    "regionDepth": 3,
    "maxReads": 8,
    "work": {
      "medianMs": 60000,
      "sigma": 0.8
    },
    "meanFilesPerChange": 3.01
  },
  "calibration": {
    "source": "Live runs 2026-10-12 06:18-06:42 UTC against the production deployment (colony bench-w2-load, OpenSpec trunk, regionDepth 3). See results/2026-10-12/summary.md (Calibration) for the derivation.",
    "inPlatform": {
      "takeMs": 250,
      "proposeMs": 30,
      "laneOverheadMs": 100,
      "commitBaseMs": 620,
      "commitPerProposalMs": 72,
      "landMs": 692,
      "rebaseMs": 350,
      "testMs": 0
    },
    "client": {
      "10": {
        "takeMs": 354,
        "proposeMs": 115
      },
      "50": {
        "takeMs": 487,
        "proposeMs": 123
      },
      "200": {
        "takeMs": 1086,
        "proposeMs": 127
      },
      "1000": {
        "takeMs": 714,
        "proposeMs": 155
      }
    },
    "clientDefault": {
      "takeMs": 450,
      "proposeMs": 125
    },
    "notes": {
      "takeMs": "in-platform take: laptop p50 at N=10 (354 ms) minus the laptop round trip (~100 ms)",
      "proposeMs": "laptop p50 115-155 ms minus ~100 ms round trip",
      "laneOverheadMs": "trunk blobs, base blobs and lineage-context RPCs before TrunkDO.land; from the batch-cost intercept (first proposal to landing receipt ~1.06 s) minus the commit intercept",
      "commitBaseMs": "trunk writer time per commit independent of batch size: commit gaps p50 551-829 ms at mean batch 1.0-2.0 in the swarm runs, minus 72 ms per proposal (drifts from ~480 to ~700 ms as load and trunk history grow; 620 is the middle)",
      "commitPerProposalMs": "slope of landing time vs batch size in the batch-cost runs (k = 2, 8, 24, 49 in one region): 71.8 ms per proposal (pull blob from the workspace, verify, write)",
      "landMs": "baseline merge queue: one change landed by the same writer = commitBaseMs + commitPerProposalMs",
      "rebaseMs": "baseline rebase of a stale change on Artifacts: fetch trunk (spike: 230-247 ms) + replay and commit (spike: 91 ms) = ~350 ms; checks re-run separately (testMs)",
      "testMs": "0: checks cost nothing in the headline runs (most favourable to the baseline, which re-runs them serially after every rebase)"
    }
  },
  "testMs": 30000,
  "rework": {
    "baseline": 1,
    "firetrident": 1
  },
  "results": [
    {
      "model": "baseline",
      "agents": 10,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 1.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 1.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 1.9,
      "reworkPct": 0,
      "wastedPct": 0,
      "conflictsPer1000": 0,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 152.8,
      "ttlP99S": 232.9,
      "e2eP50S": 245.3,
      "e2eP99S": 858.7,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 25.8,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.13,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 22.8,
      "messages": {
        "claim": 29,
        "submit": 28,
        "landPush": 28,
        "poll": 406,
        "heartbeat": 175,
        "queueFetch": 28,
        "queueRebasePush": 28
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.97,
      "backlogAtEnd": 4,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 166,
      "wallMs": 11
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident",
      "agents": 10,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 4.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 4.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 4.9,
      "reworkPct": 0,
      "wastedPct": 0,
      "conflictsPer1000": 0,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 0.8,
      "ttlP99S": 1.4,
      "e2eP50S": 96,
      "e2eP99S": 674.5,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 311.5,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 57.56,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 5.4,
      "messages": {
        "propose": 73,
        "heartbeat": 176,
        "enqueue": 73,
        "laneRpc": 365,
        "landingApply": 133,
        "release": 73,
        "poll": 73,
        "take": 73,
        "fieldReading": 21490,
        "poolLease": 73,
        "claimDeposit": 134
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.06,
      "backlogAtEnd": 0,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 562,
      "wallMs": 21
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident-group",
      "agents": 10,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 4.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 4.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 4.9,
      "reworkPct": 0,
      "wastedPct": 0,
      "conflictsPer1000": 0,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 0.8,
      "ttlP99S": 1.4,
      "e2eP50S": 96,
      "e2eP99S": 674.5,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 311.5,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 57.56,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 5.4,
      "messages": {
        "propose": 73,
        "heartbeat": 176,
        "enqueue": 73,
        "laneRpc": 365,
        "landingApply": 133,
        "release": 73,
        "poll": 73,
        "take": 73,
        "fieldReading": 21490,
        "poolLease": 73,
        "claimDeposit": 134
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.06,
      "backlogAtEnd": 0,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 562,
      "wallMs": 14
    },
    {
      "model": "baseline",
      "agents": 100,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 1.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 1.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 2.4,
      "reworkPct": 0,
      "wastedPct": 0,
      "conflictsPer1000": 0,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 700.1,
      "ttlP99S": 1119.7,
      "e2eP50S": 759.1,
      "e2eP99S": 1193.7,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 72.4,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.04,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 69.4,
      "messages": {
        "claim": 29,
        "submit": 36,
        "landPush": 29,
        "poll": 1465,
        "heartbeat": 483,
        "queueFetch": 29,
        "queueRebasePush": 29
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.99,
      "backlogAtEnd": 96,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 443,
      "wallMs": 5
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident",
      "agents": 100,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 47.2,
      "commitsPerMin": 47.2,
      "submittedPerMin": 50.7,
      "reworkPct": 10.11,
      "wastedPct": 10.11,
      "conflictsPer1000": 71,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 1,
      "ttlP99S": 254.6,
      "e2eP50S": 92.5,
      "e2eP99S": 516.5,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 311.9,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 54.26,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 5.7,
      "messages": {
        "propose": 761,
        "heartbeat": 1584,
        "enqueue": 761,
        "laneRpc": 3698,
        "landingApply": 1319,
        "release": 762,
        "poll": 963,
        "returnApply": 95,
        "take": 762,
        "fieldReading": 207958,
        "poolLease": 762,
        "claimDeposit": 1431
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.54,
      "backlogAtEnd": 0,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 6011,
      "wallMs": 92
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident-group",
      "agents": 100,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 47.7,
      "commitsPerMin": 42.2,
      "submittedPerMin": 51.1,
      "reworkPct": 9.71,
      "wastedPct": 9.61,
      "conflictsPer1000": 66.5,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 0.9,
      "ttlP99S": 250.9,
      "e2eP50S": 91.8,
      "e2eP99S": 514.8,
      "meanBatch": 1.13,
      "messagesPerLanded": 306.2,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 55.69,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 5.5,
      "messages": {
        "enqueue": 767,
        "laneRpc": 3732,
        "returnApply": 87,
        "release": 766,
        "poll": 807,
        "heartbeat": 1593,
        "take": 766,
        "fieldReading": 206143,
        "poolLease": 766,
        "claimDeposit": 1438,
        "propose": 766,
        "landingApply": 1337
      },
      "waits": {},
      "trunkUtilization": 0.49,
      "backlogAtEnd": 1,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 5938,
      "wallMs": 78
    },
    {
      "model": "baseline",
      "agents": 1000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 1.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 1.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 3,
      "reworkPct": 0.75,
      "wastedPct": 0.75,
      "conflictsPer1000": 22.2,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 675.9,
      "ttlP99S": 1138.2,
      "e2eP50S": 720.6,
      "e2eP99S": 1185.9,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 1822.6,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 1819.5,
      "messages": {
        "claim": 48947,
        "submit": 45,
        "landPush": 28,
        "poll": 1480,
        "heartbeat": 474,
        "queueFetch": 29,
        "queueRebasePush": 29
      },
      "waits": {
        "every offered task has a locked file": 48926
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.98,
      "backlogAtEnd": 819,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 66252,
      "wallMs": 25
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident",
      "agents": 1000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 86.1,
      "commitsPerMin": 84.5,
      "submittedPerMin": 109.7,
      "reworkPct": 41,
      "wastedPct": 42.43,
      "conflictsPer1000": 407.3,
      "writeWritePer1000": 267.5,
      "ttlP50S": 274.5,
      "ttlP99S": 944.6,
      "e2eP50S": 380.9,
      "e2eP99S": 1068,
      "meanBatch": 1.02,
      "messagesPerLanded": 1294.2,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 7.1,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 182.4,
      "messages": {
        "take": 186448,
        "fieldReading": 1415266,
        "landingApply": 2127,
        "release": 1961,
        "poll": 35134,
        "heartbeat": 12211,
        "laneRpc": 7898,
        "poolLease": 1762,
        "claimDeposit": 3333,
        "propose": 1646,
        "enqueue": 1645,
        "returnApply": 1409
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 183445,
        "admission closed in every candidate region": 1241
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 1,
      "backlogAtEnd": 517,
      "sigmaMax": 3,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 227671,
      "wallMs": 466
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident-group",
      "agents": 1000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 164,
      "commitsPerMin": 71.7,
      "submittedPerMin": 249.4,
      "reworkPct": 45.39,
      "wastedPct": 45.7,
      "conflictsPer1000": 344.6,
      "writeWritePer1000": 130.7,
      "ttlP50S": 1.5,
      "ttlP99S": 642.7,
      "e2eP50S": 108.7,
      "e2eP99S": 799.8,
      "meanBatch": 2.29,
      "messagesPerLanded": 763.8,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 7.12,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 107.3,
      "messages": {
        "take": 246789,
        "laneRpc": 16176,
        "landingApply": 4450,
        "release": 3749,
        "poll": 4870,
        "heartbeat": 8580,
        "fieldReading": 1573253,
        "propose": 3741,
        "enqueue": 3741,
        "returnApply": 2721,
        "poolLease": 3637,
        "claimDeposit": 7126
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 243152
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.94,
      "backlogAtEnd": 3,
      "sigmaMax": 1,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 315085,
      "wallMs": 772
    },
    {
      "model": "baseline",
      "agents": 10000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 1.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 1.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 3,
      "reworkPct": 0.75,
      "wastedPct": 0.75,
      "conflictsPer1000": 22.2,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 675.9,
      "ttlP99S": 1138.2,
      "e2eP50S": 720.6,
      "e2eP99S": 1185.9,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 90832.9,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 90829.8,
      "messages": {
        "claim": 2541236,
        "submit": 45,
        "landPush": 28,
        "poll": 1480,
        "heartbeat": 474,
        "queueFetch": 29,
        "queueRebasePush": 29
      },
      "waits": {
        "every offered task has a locked file": 2541215
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.98,
      "backlogAtEnd": 819,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 3317814,
      "wallMs": 678
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident",
      "agents": 10000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 85.7,
      "commitsPerMin": 84.5,
      "submittedPerMin": 110.1,
      "reworkPct": 42.88,
      "wastedPct": 44.93,
      "conflictsPer1000": 400.4,
      "writeWritePer1000": 263.5,
      "ttlP50S": 269.9,
      "ttlP99S": 931,
      "e2eP50S": 375.3,
      "e2eP99S": 1059.2,
      "meanBatch": 1.01,
      "messagesPerLanded": 4772.9,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.31,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 3648.4,
      "messages": {
        "take": 4643908,
        "fieldReading": 1426166,
        "propose": 1651,
        "heartbeat": 11970,
        "enqueue": 1651,
        "laneRpc": 7928,
        "landingApply": 2162,
        "release": 1947,
        "poll": 34287,
        "returnApply": 1364,
        "poolLease": 1693,
        "claimDeposit": 3214
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 4433268,
        "admission closed in every candidate region": 208947
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 1,
      "backlogAtEnd": 523,
      "sigmaMax": 2,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0.1,
      "events": 6091475,
      "wallMs": 2092
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident-group",
      "agents": 10000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 161.2,
      "commitsPerMin": 72.1,
      "submittedPerMin": 242.1,
      "reworkPct": 43.74,
      "wastedPct": 44.06,
      "conflictsPer1000": 335.4,
      "writeWritePer1000": 125,
      "ttlP50S": 1.5,
      "ttlP99S": 653.6,
      "e2eP50S": 108.1,
      "e2eP99S": 834.3,
      "meanBatch": 2.23,
      "messagesPerLanded": 2696.3,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.33,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 2026,
      "messages": {
        "take": 4882115,
        "landingApply": 4452,
        "release": 3636,
        "poll": 4793,
        "heartbeat": 8367,
        "laneRpc": 15749,
        "poolLease": 3559,
        "claimDeposit": 6892,
        "fieldReading": 1580348,
        "returnApply": 2493,
        "propose": 3631,
        "enqueue": 3631
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 4878556
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.94,
      "backlogAtEnd": 3,
      "sigmaMax": 2,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 6359085,
      "wallMs": 2682
    },
    {
      "model": "baseline",
      "agents": 100000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 1.9,
      "commitsPerMin": 1.9,
      "submittedPerMin": 3,
      "reworkPct": 0,
      "wastedPct": 0,
      "conflictsPer1000": 0,
      "writeWritePer1000": 0,
      "ttlP50S": 708.2,
      "ttlP99S": 1140.9,
      "e2eP50S": 751.5,
      "e2eP99S": 1186,
      "meanBatch": 1,
      "messagesPerLanded": 947119.6,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 947116.6,
      "messages": {
        "claim": 27464376,
        "submit": 45,
        "landPush": 29,
        "poll": 1484,
        "heartbeat": 475,
        "queueFetch": 29,
        "queueRebasePush": 29
      },
      "waits": {
        "every offered task has a locked file": 27464359
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.98,
      "backlogAtEnd": 819,
      "sigmaMax": 0,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 35748427,
      "wallMs": 12385
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident",
      "agents": 100000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 85.7,
      "commitsPerMin": 84.5,
      "submittedPerMin": 111.5,
      "reworkPct": 42.37,
      "wastedPct": 43.29,
      "conflictsPer1000": 403.7,
      "writeWritePer1000": 266.7,
      "ttlP50S": 269,
      "ttlP99S": 938,
      "e2eP50S": 376.3,
      "e2eP99S": 1052.4,
      "meanBatch": 1.01,
      "messagesPerLanded": 40867.5,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.03,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 39774.7,
      "messages": {
        "take": 51101280,
        "fieldReading": 1385256,
        "landingApply": 2122,
        "release": 1961,
        "poll": 35003,
        "heartbeat": 12258,
        "laneRpc": 7976,
        "poolLease": 1752,
        "claimDeposit": 3269,
        "propose": 1672,
        "enqueue": 1672,
        "returnApply": 1393
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 51099528
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 1,
      "backlogAtEnd": 541,
      "sigmaMax": 2,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 66451521,
      "wallMs": 27496
    },
    {
      "model": "firetrident-group",
      "agents": 100000,
      "seed": 1,
      "simulatedMin": 20,
      "measuredMin": 15,
      "landingsPerMin": 162.1,
      "commitsPerMin": 72.7,
      "submittedPerMin": 249.3,
      "reworkPct": 46.76,
      "wastedPct": 46.94,
      "conflictsPer1000": 350.1,
      "writeWritePer1000": 136.9,
      "ttlP50S": 1.5,
      "ttlP99S": 739.9,
      "e2eP50S": 109,
      "e2eP99S": 917.5,
      "meanBatch": 2.23,
      "messagesPerLanded": 21718.7,
      "messagesPerAgentAction": 1.03,
      "agentRequestsPerLanded": 21053.1,
      "messages": {
        "take": 51162860,
        "fieldReading": 1577167,
        "propose": 3739,
        "heartbeat": 8599,
        "enqueue": 3739,
        "laneRpc": 16088,
        "landingApply": 4378,
        "release": 3740,
        "poll": 4909,
        "poolLease": 3579,
        "claimDeposit": 6764,
        "returnApply": 2529
      },
      "waits": {
        "no intent accepted at this agent's thresholds": 51159281
      },
      "trunkUtilization": 0.95,
      "backlogAtEnd": 5,
      "sigmaMax": 1,
      "inhibitedTickPct": 0,
      "events": 66540579,
      "wallMs": 29028
    }
  ]
}
